August 10, 2012 -
As regular readers of this blog will know I have not done a good job picking pitchers lately for daily fantasy baseball at FanDuel.
I like to find bargain pitching to give me more flexibility for spending on position players, but recently that had not paid dividends. On Wednesday night I switched up that formula and spent on Gio Gonzalez, who did deliver 18 points, but none of the position players delivered substantial points and I lost that day as well.
Yesterday I decided to take a day off. Over the all star break I examined what I thought the problems in my game might be and one thing I noted was that weekend plays were better than weekdays. As a result I resolved not to play during the week if nothing felt right. Well,I also feel dedicated to PhillyGambles, blogging, and putting my money on my own advice. But on Thursday I decided to give myself a day off.
We’ll see if it makes a difference.
One thing is for sure. I’m right back to looking for bargains. Tonight, I see it in the Brewers P Mark Rogers. Through 2 starts this year, he is striking out over 10 per nine innings, while walking less than 2 per 9. That’s likely going to regress. But so will his unusually high BABIP of .355 and homerun to fly ball rate of 18.2%. I sure hope that happens tonight at Minute Maid Park because otherwise it will be a long night. The Astros should help with a high K rate of 21.9%. Rogers is a bargain $3200.
Someone who is not worth a bargain price is Indians LHP Chris Seddon. I would guess he is a LOOGY based on who he has thrown against, but in the starts he made this year lefties are still hitting over .300 against him. Righties are pummeling him at .355 though. I think 3B Will Middlebrooks ($3300) batting .310 against lefties and OF Cody Ross ($3400) with a slash line of .315/.386/.730 vs lefties should have a field day against him.
Another favorable matchup would seem to be OF Nick Markakis ($3700) against Royals Luke Hochevar. Markakis had a tough night last night, but still managed a walk and a sacrifice fly. Before that he had been 8 of 16 in 3 games against Seattle. I like him to return to that form against a guy that he has hit 7 for 22 with a double and a homerun.
Edison Volquez throws the ball hard. And gets hit hard sometimes. OF Andrew McCutchen was 4 for 8 against him previously, and all but one of those hits was for extra bases for an OPS of 1.806. ’Cutch is $4300, but that’s what bargains on the mound and at other places will let you buy.
I like Yankees 2B Robinson Cano ($3900) and 1B Mark Texeira ($3800) against a shaky Ricky Romero forthe Blue Jays.