August 18, 2012 -
Last night a really bad run ended for me, and I won a 5-team league on FanDuel behind solid pitching by Wade Miley and extraordinary hitting by Prince Fielder. Not that I am superstitious, but I am using much the same approach tonight. And it is really a comfort zone for me, because I have a sleeper pitcher that I like.
Once again, 1B Prince Fielder ($3900) has no sample size against an Orioles pitcher. This time it is against LHP Zach Britton. But Britton has reverse splits, allowing left-handed hitters to hit .342 while right handers only hit .295 against him. Meanwhile, although Fielder does hit slightly worse against lefties, he still hits them with a slash line of .296/.339/.457. When Fielder has not hit in the last ten games he has walked. He’s been solid.
As for the pitching connection, I like Wade Miley’s Diamondbacks teammate P Patrick Corbin against the Astros. Here’s what the rookie has done over his last three starts: 19 IP, 19K, 4 ER, 2 wins. And that was against the Nats (W), at Pittsburgh (no decision), and at the Los Angeles Dodgers (W). I like that for $6000, and I like his chances against Houston and their starter Jordan Lyles.
Speaking of whom, Jordan Lyles faced the D’backs on July 22 in Arizona, and gave up 8 runs in 5 2/3 innings, 5 of them earned. C Miguel Montero ($3800) is 4 for 6 against him, and OF Gerardo Parra is 4 for 5 facing Lyles. Montero has hit in his last 5, and Parra has hit safely in 6 of the last 7. Since Parra is available for $2900 and is hitting leadoff, I think he makes an excellent bargain pickup tonight.
Another $2900 outfielder you may like is Brandon Moss of the A’s. The lefthanded hitter is in the lineup and facing Indians P Corey Kluber. Having faced lefties 39 times this year, Kluber has allowed 16 hits. Personally, I would rather have lefty A’s OF Josh Reddick for $3500, but the option is there.
3B Chipper Jones is also in some kind of comfort zone right now, with 3 HR in his last two games. It would not be crazy to see him go yard again tonight. Jones is 7 for 18 lifetime versus Aaraon Harang, with 2 HR, 1 triple, and a double. That is a slash line of .389/.389/.889 and that is worth $3800 to me.
I also like Reds OF Ryan Ludwick‘s chances in game two of a doubleheader with the Cubs. Ludwick went 0 for 1 with a pinch hit in game 1. He faces lefty Brooks Raley, who already served up one homer to Ludwick earlier this week. Even for $4000 I like Ludwick to have some success tonight having seen Raley so recently.
One place I am not as comfortable is second base. I like the idea of Chase Utley ($3500) tonight facing righthander Mike Fiers of the Brewers. Fiers sees left handers hit for almost 70 points more of batting average than righties. But Fiers also has a very good WHIP of 1.1, and if not for facing Cole Hamels and a price tag of $7400, might be a very attractive pick-up tonight himself.
In the mean time, 2B Ben Zobrist is available for the same price, $3500. He went yard in the last two games, and he is facing C.J. Wilson tonight. Against Wilson, Zobrist is only 5 for 20, but three of those hits went for extra bases. This year’s C.J. Wilson does not look the same, and these Rays (perfect game victims notwithstanding) are much better with Longoria back in the lineup. I’ll gamble with Zobrist.