July 24, 2012 -
As long as the O’s are striking out a the rate that they are (another 8 last night, of which Masterson recorded 6) I see no reason not to keep taking decent pitchers against them. Jeremy Hellickson has been striking out only 5.73 per nine innings pitched, while walking 3.52/9IP. But he was good in Baltimore in early June and with the exception of Adam Jones and Wilson Betemit, no one on the team seems to hit him. Not even lefty Jim Thome, who is 0 for 6 against Hellickson lifetime. So I plan to take a chance with Hellickson for $6000.
Another cheap option that I am taking a flyer on is Pirates SS Clint Barmes for $2800. He hits eighth for a reason, I know, but in his career he is 13 for 29 against Paul Maholm. This year and last that is just 1 for 8, but if he can get on base tonight, I think he’ll score. 1B Garrett Jones, for example, is 9 for 17 against Maholm (I like him for $3500, also). McCutchen and Neil Walker have hardly faced him, but they are a combined 2 for 3 in those limited spots.
Tigers 3B Miguel Cabrera is 9 for 23 versus Ubaldo Jimenez, with 6 walks. That is a .517 OBP. That’s silly, and I think worth $4500. In that same game, and for cheaper, C Alex Avila is also sporting a .500 OBP against Ubaldo in 12 career at bats, and is a reasonable $3100.
Reds 2B Brandon Phillips has had multi-hit games in 4 of the last 5. He faces Lucas Harrell of the Astros tonight, against whom he was 2 for 4 earlier this year. Phillips is $3700 at Fan Duel. Yes, please.
While shopping in that game, note that OF Jay Bruce is 3 for 3 against Harrell, and is 5 for his last 13 at bats. $3500.